With the major storm gathering
for a coastal strike.
Hurricane Earl now a massive
category 4 hurricane is pushing
a wall of wind and water across
Puerto Rico and towards the
mainland with sustained winds of
135 miles per hour.
Major east coast cities
including New York and Boston
fall squarely within the storm's
so-called cone of uncertainty.
Well, how bad could damage from
this hurricane be?
Sam Champion has our report.
>> Hurricane Earl jumped two
categories today.
A category 2 at breakfast time.
By dinner, a powerful category 4.
Only 15% of all hurricanes will
ever be that powerful.
Its track also shifted slightly
to the west, increasing the
chances that Earl will swipe
east coast from the outer banks
All the way up to Cape Cod as it
moves north.
And FEMA is watching it all.
monitoring Earl's every move.
Today, urging states from North
Carolina to New England to
prepare for possible
evacuations.
Earl has been lashing the
islands in the caribbean as it
gains strength.
Knocking down trees.
Causing power outages.
And creating dangerous surf.
This, as the east coast is still
feel effects of hurricane
Danielle.
Over the weekend, at least two
people died as a result of
powerful rip tides caused in the
wake of danielle.
>> I wouldn't even go out there.
Too rough today.
Very, very rough.
>> Under careful
supervision, I tested the waters
and got a taste for what it's
like to be caught in a rip tide.
Even though I was swimming right
to the beach, I was pulled out
hundreds of feet from the shore.
In less than five minutes.
East coast lifeguards, including
those in New Jersey, were on
high alert after more than 100
people were rescued from rough
surf over the weekend.
>> Hurricane Danielle was coming
up the east coast.
As it headed towards us, it
pushed a lot of large waves.
Saturday, the waves were
substantial.
We had at least 40 -- we
think -- a sifts or rescues on
Saturday and maybe as many as 70
yesterday.
>> Tonight, hurricane
Danielle is far off shore.
But still close enough to stir
up these waters.
>> We get storm surge,
storm waves, like we had, then
we can be very busy and it's
all-consuming.
>> And now, Earl is
on his way and could threat
one of the busiest beach
weekends of the summer.
And just like the rest of us,
all the lifeguards can do is
watch and wait.
It is still too early to tell if Earl
will actually make landfall on the east
coast.
There's a powerful cold front
moving in from the northwest
which could keep Earl out in the
Atlantic as it makes its way
North.
>> There will be swells --
>> yeah, the lifeguards are
going to be busy regardless.
>> Here is
National hurricane center in
Miami, hurricane trackers are
closely monitoring all the
incoming data, in order to
create the various models that
can warn people about the path
of this ever changing and, now,
very dangerous hurricane.
>> Now, the computers are
reaching the skill of where we
can run very sophisticated
models to come up with a better
forecast of where the hurricane
will be.
>> The hurricane
center is part of the national
oceanic and atmospheric
administration or NOAA and it
gathers much of its data using
these.
>> looks like we got one bump
ahead.
>> Hurricane hunters.
planes that fly right through
the storm gathering precise
Measurements that allow for
greater accuracy when it comes
to predicting just where a
hurricane is headed.
The strides that have been made
in the last several decades have
to do with track forecasting.
We get better and better at
where the storm is going.
Only limited progress in how
strong it's going to be when it
gets there.
The good news is,
All this technology is making
for better hurricane forecasts.
As a result, three-day forecasts
are now as accurate as two-day
forecasts where during the '90s.
But the long-term forecast, four
and five days out, is still
tricky business.
And that's why keeping an eye on
Earl as it strengthens in the
warm waters of the Atlantic is
so important in the coming days.
For those who think a hurricane
can't strike New England, think
again.
These are pictures of hurricane
Bob.
In 1991, Bob passed within 35
miles of the Carolina coast.
Clipped New York's long island.
and made landfall in Rhode
Island, with 100-mile-an-hour
Winds.
A category 2 hurricane.
I'm Sam Champion in Miami beach
For "Nightline."
>>> Earl a dangerous storm
for sure and for the latest on
the hurricane go to abcnews.com.
Thanks to Sam Champion for that
report.
for a coastal strike.
Hurricane Earl now a massive
category 4 hurricane is pushing
a wall of wind and water across
Puerto Rico and towards the
mainland with sustained winds of
135 miles per hour.
Major east coast cities
including New York and Boston
fall squarely within the storm's
so-called cone of uncertainty.
Well, how bad could damage from
this hurricane be?
Sam Champion has our report.
>> Hurricane Earl jumped two
categories today.
A category 2 at breakfast time.
By dinner, a powerful category 4.
Only 15% of all hurricanes will
ever be that powerful.
Its track also shifted slightly
to the west, increasing the
chances that Earl will swipe
east coast from the outer banks
All the way up to Cape Cod as it
moves north.
And FEMA is watching it all.
monitoring Earl's every move.
Today, urging states from North
Carolina to New England to
prepare for possible
evacuations.
Earl has been lashing the
islands in the caribbean as it
gains strength.
Knocking down trees.
Causing power outages.
And creating dangerous surf.
This, as the east coast is still
feel effects of hurricane
Danielle.
Over the weekend, at least two
people died as a result of
powerful rip tides caused in the
wake of danielle.
>> I wouldn't even go out there.
Too rough today.
Very, very rough.
>> Under careful
supervision, I tested the waters
and got a taste for what it's
like to be caught in a rip tide.
Even though I was swimming right
to the beach, I was pulled out
hundreds of feet from the shore.
In less than five minutes.
East coast lifeguards, including
those in New Jersey, were on
high alert after more than 100
people were rescued from rough
surf over the weekend.
>> Hurricane Danielle was coming
up the east coast.
As it headed towards us, it
pushed a lot of large waves.
Saturday, the waves were
substantial.
We had at least 40 -- we
think -- a sifts or rescues on
Saturday and maybe as many as 70
yesterday.
>> Tonight, hurricane
Danielle is far off shore.
But still close enough to stir
up these waters.
>> We get storm surge,
storm waves, like we had, then
we can be very busy and it's
all-consuming.
>> And now, Earl is
on his way and could threat
one of the busiest beach
weekends of the summer.
And just like the rest of us,
all the lifeguards can do is
watch and wait.
It is still too early to tell if Earl
will actually make landfall on the east
coast.
There's a powerful cold front
moving in from the northwest
which could keep Earl out in the
Atlantic as it makes its way
North.
>> There will be swells --
>> yeah, the lifeguards are
going to be busy regardless.
>> Here is
National hurricane center in
Miami, hurricane trackers are
closely monitoring all the
incoming data, in order to
create the various models that
can warn people about the path
of this ever changing and, now,
very dangerous hurricane.
>> Now, the computers are
reaching the skill of where we
can run very sophisticated
models to come up with a better
forecast of where the hurricane
will be.
>> The hurricane
center is part of the national
oceanic and atmospheric
administration or NOAA and it
gathers much of its data using
these.
>> looks like we got one bump
ahead.
>> Hurricane hunters.
planes that fly right through
the storm gathering precise
Measurements that allow for
greater accuracy when it comes
to predicting just where a
hurricane is headed.
The strides that have been made
in the last several decades have
to do with track forecasting.
We get better and better at
where the storm is going.
Only limited progress in how
strong it's going to be when it
gets there.
The good news is,
All this technology is making
for better hurricane forecasts.
As a result, three-day forecasts
are now as accurate as two-day
forecasts where during the '90s.
But the long-term forecast, four
and five days out, is still
tricky business.
And that's why keeping an eye on
Earl as it strengthens in the
warm waters of the Atlantic is
so important in the coming days.
For those who think a hurricane
can't strike New England, think
again.
These are pictures of hurricane
Bob.
In 1991, Bob passed within 35
miles of the Carolina coast.
Clipped New York's long island.
and made landfall in Rhode
Island, with 100-mile-an-hour
Winds.
A category 2 hurricane.
I'm Sam Champion in Miami beach
For "Nightline."
>>> Earl a dangerous storm
for sure and for the latest on
the hurricane go to abcnews.com.
Thanks to Sam Champion for that
report.
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